Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9 (2024)

Data Skrive

Jackson Merrill and the San Diego Padres square off against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are +117 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Padres (-139). San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +118 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 9, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Marlins 47%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 68 times and won 39, or 57.4%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 21-15, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Marlins have won in 39, or 39%, of the 100 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 28 times in 76 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 7-1 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
• The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is the Padres best power hitter, crushing 19 round-trippers this season in addition to delivering 71 RBI, both team highs.
• Profar's home runs rank him 29th in MLB, and he is 18th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez has a club-best .303 batting average.
• Arraez ranks 309th in home runs and 209th in RBI in the bigs.
• Manny Machado is batting .270 with 20 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
• Machado has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Merrill is hitting .289 with 19 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 19 walks.
• Merrill is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger paces the Marlins with 19 home runs and 49 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .240.
• Burger's home run total puts him 29th in MLB, and he is 87th in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .235 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Sanchez is 98th in home runs and 124th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .375 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 18 walks.
• Otto Lopez is batting .225 with eight doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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